Writing
Notes
Short essays on options markets, quantitative methods, and the data tooling behind them.
Recovering risk-neutral density from option prices
May 20, 2026Breeden-Litzenberger gives you the market's implied distribution over future spot from a strip of vanilla calls. Here's how, and why it's the cleanest way to read sentiment from options.
The volatility risk premium as a tradeable signal
May 12, 2026Implied vol is systematically higher than realized vol. That gap pays sellers of options on average — but the pattern is structural, not free money.
Why I reach for Polars over pandas
May 4, 2026For most analytical workloads, the Polars API is closer to SQL than to pandas, and the speed-up is the smaller part of the win.